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The masked man is most likely Murong Yao, FSG's bestie. In this story they should be a powerful noble family that are political rivals with the Zhuangs. Maybe he is has a deal with Empress Zhuang to help her son ascend as long as he becomes the next PM. But tbh he doesn't need her, once the emperor dies she is just a weak woman with no real power of her own. Or maybe he wants the throne for himself. While this is a fictional dynasty, in history, the Murong clan is an aristocratic family that had once ruled over their own kingdom. In fact I believe in real history there is a Xianbei emperor by the name of Murong Yao.
As for who poisoned JS, its already shown that the masked man has the antidote so obviously they lied when they said its coming from the wedding procession. At this point, I am just going to be simplistic about it and assume that its the masked man to avoid going down the path of overly convoluted speculation. Its easier to consider other possible scenarios after we get more facts.
He doesn't even get it that the girl has already swapped out the prince that was sidelined for the throne for the prince that is in line for the throne. Not all princes are created equal.